Anora
Project

Long-Term Urban Growth & Scenario Modelling

Project urban expansion for 2030/2040 and link scenarios to flood and heat risk.

Time-series maps showing the spatial expansion of built-up areas in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020
Observed built-up growth over three decades, highlighting the outward expansion and intensification of urban development across the study area

Objective

Anticipate future urban expansion and its environmental consequences.

What we did

Using time-series satellite imagery, we analysed three decades of built-up growth and applied CA–Markov modelling to project urban expansion scenarios for 2030 and 2040. These projections were then linked to flood and heat risk indicators.

Outcome

  • Observed and projected urban growth maps
  • Quantified future pressure on drainage and climate resilience
  • Strategic input for master planning and infrastructure phasing
← Back to Projects